BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Thornburg Tri-County

Class: 1A Class Rank: 114 Conference: (3-17) Overall: (3-18) Overall Strength =   44.22

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/03/2002 Away    L *  50.41  31   50   1A   27 (13- 9) Lynnville-Sully         6.46    -25.46                      
  2 12/06/2002 Home    L *  40.92  42   52   1A   87 (12- 9) Marengo Iowa Valley    -3.03     -6.97                      
  3 12/10/2002 Home    L *  36.43  34   37   1A  125 ( 3-19) Keota                  -7.52      4.52                      
  4 12/13/2002 Home    W *  42.87  44   43   1A  111 ( 5-17) English Valleys        -1.08      2.08                      
  5 12/14/2002 Away    L *  44.79  22   64   1A    4 (27- 1) North Mahaska           0.84 *  -42.84                      
  6 12/17/2002 Home    L *  27.04  49   68   2A  115 ( 6-15) Sigourney             -16.91     -2.09                      
  7 12/20/2002 Home    L *  44.65  31   51   1A   34 (19- 7) Victor HLV              0.70    -20.70                      
  8 01/03/2003 Away    L *  31.14  30   77   1A   12 (17- 5) Montezuma             -12.81 *  -34.19                      
  9 01/07/2003 Away    L *  45.43  41   42   2A  114 ( 6-15) Belle Plaine            1.48     -2.48                      
 10 01/10/2003 Away    L *  49.09  28   36   2A   91 (13- 9) Brooklyn BGM            5.13    -13.13                      
 11 01/14/2003 Home    L *  60.17  46   52   1A   27 (13- 9) Lynnville-Sully        16.21    -22.21                      
 12 01/17/2003 Away    L *  41.17  48   61   1A   87 (12- 9) Marengo Iowa Valley    -2.78    -10.22                      
 13 01/24/2003 Away    W *  63.68  54   33   1A  125 ( 3-19) Keota                  19.72      1.28                      
 14 01/25/2003 Away    L    40.39  47   72   1A   49 (19- 4) Lone Tree              -3.56    -21.44                      
 15 01/31/2003 Home    L *  55.55  39   67   1A    4 (27- 1) North Mahaska          11.59 *  -39.59                      
 16 02/01/2003 Away    L *  37.12  48   56   1A  111 ( 5-17) English Valleys        -6.84     -1.16                      
 17 02/07/2003 Away    L *  51.90  36   52   1A   34 (19- 7) Victor HLV              7.94    -23.94                      
 18 02/11/2003 Home    L *  39.90  40   75   1A   12 (17- 5) Montezuma              -4.06 *  -30.94                      
 19 02/18/2003 Home    L *  38.84  35   50   2A   91 (13- 9) Brooklyn BGM           -5.11     -9.89                      
 20 02/22/2003 Unknown W *  53.06  46   41   2A  114 ( 6-15) Belle Plaine            9.10     -4.10                      
 21 02/24/2003 Neutral L *  28.50  35   50   1A  111 ( 5-17) English Valleys       -15.46      0.46                      
      Averages              43.96  39.3 53.8

Best game:   63.68 = 21 point win over Keota
Worst game:  27.04 = 19 point loss to Sigourney
Team stdev:   9.67